08/08/2020 | Press release | Distributed by Public on 08/08/2020 19:34
Why COVID-19 Forecasting Is Important
CDC is responding to a pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by a new coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, that is spreading from person to person. The federal government is working closely with state, tribal, local, and territorial health departments, and other public health partners, to respond to this situation. Forecasts of deaths, hospitalizations, and cases will help inform public health decision making by projecting the likely impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in coming weeks.
Bringing Together Forecasts for COVID-19 Deaths, Hospitalizations, and Cases in the United States
CDC works with partners to bring together weekly forecasts based on statistical or mathematical models that aim to predict:
Forecasting teams predict numbers of deaths, hospitalizations, and cases using different types of data (e.g., COVID-19 data, demographic data, mobility data), methods, and estimates of the impacts of interventions (e.g., social distancing, use of face coverings). These forecasts are developed independently and shared publicly. It is important to bring these forecasts together to help understand how they compare with each other and how much uncertainty there is about what may happen in the near future.
Weekly forecasts submitted to CDC are posted on these websites:
Previous forecasts are available at: