Conifer Holdings Inc.

05/12/2022 | Press release | Distributed by Public on 05/12/2022 04:05

Quarterly Report (Form 10-Q)

cnfr-10q_20220331.htm

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 10-Q

QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the Quarterly Period Ended March 31, 2022

OR

TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the transition period from to

Commission file number 001-37536

Conifer Holdings, Inc.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Michigan

27-1298795

(State or other jurisdiction of

incorporation or organization)

(I.R.S. Employer

Identification No.)

550 West Merrill Street, Suite 200

Birmingham, Michigan

48009

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip code)

(248) 559-0840

(Registrant's telephone number, including area code)

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, no par value

CNFR

The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes No

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically every Interactive Data File required to be submitted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§ 232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit such files). YesNo

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, smaller reporting company, or an emerging growth company. See the definitions of "large accelerated filer," "accelerated filer," "smaller reporting company," and "emerging growth company" in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.

Large accelerated filer

Accelerated filer

Non-accelerated filer

Smaller reporting company

Emerging growth company

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes No

The number of outstanding shares of the registrant's common stock, no par value, as of May 11, 2022, was 9,715,324.

CONIFER HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Form 10-Q

INDEX

Page No.

Part I - Financial Information

Item 1 - Financial Statements

3

Consolidated Balance Sheets (Unaudited)

3

Consolidated Statements of Operations (Unaudited)

4

Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (Loss) (Unaudited)

5

Consolidated Statements of Changes in Shareholders' Equity (Unaudited)

6

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (Unaudited)

7

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited)

8

Item 2 - Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

23

Item 3 - Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk

32

Item 4 - Controls and Procedures

33

Part II - Other Information

Item 1 - Legal Proceedings

34

Item 1A - Risk Factors

34

Item 2 - Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds

34

Item 6 - Exhibits

35

Signatures

36

2

PART 1 - FINANCIAL INFORMATION

ITEM 1 - FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

CONIFER HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Consolidated Balance Sheets

(dollars in thousands)

March 31,

2022

December 31,

2021

(Unaudited)

Assets

Investment securities:

Debt securities, at fair value (amortized cost of $152,217 and $150,732, respectively)

$

144,035

$

149,783

Equity securities, at fair value (cost of $11,652 and $10,972, respectively)

10,892

9,931

Short-term investments, at fair value

18,197

23,013

Total investments

173,124

182,727

Cash and cash equivalents

7,837

9,913

Premiums and agents' balances receivable, net

21,422

21,197

Receivable from Affiliate

5,117

5,784

Reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses

40,605

40,344

Reinsurance recoverables on paid losses

2,287

1,347

Prepaid reinsurance premiums

14,434

8,301

Deferred policy acquisition costs

10,124

12,267

Other assets

9,981

8,524

Total assets

$

284,931

$

290,404

Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity

Liabilities:

Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses

$

140,938

$

139,085

Unearned premiums

65,468

65,269

Reinsurance premiums payable

3,342

5,318

Debt

38,642

33,564

Accounts payable and accrued expenses

6,157

6,665

Total liabilities

254,547

249,901

Commitments and contingencies

Shareholders' equity:

Common stock, no par value (100,000,000 shares authorized; 9,707,817 issued and outstanding, respectively)

92,730

92,692

Accumulated deficit

(52,949

)

(50,079

)

Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)

(9,397

)

(2,110

)

Total shareholders' equity

30,384

40,503

Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

$

284,931

$

290,404

The accompanying notes are an integral part of the Consolidated Financial Statements.

3

CONIFER HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Consolidated Statements of Operations (Unaudited)

(dollars in thousands, except per share data)

Three Months Ended

March 31,

2022

2021

Revenue and Other Income

Premiums

Gross earned premiums

$

32,764

28,247

Ceded earned premiums

(8,809

)

(5,412

)

Net earned premiums

23,955

22,835

Net investment income

507

532

Net realized investment gains (losses)

(69

)

2,924

Change in fair value of equity securities

280

(540

)

Other gains (losses)

(5

)

-

Other income

698

556

Total revenue and other income

25,366

26,307

Expenses

Losses and loss adjustment expenses, net

18,018

19,362

Policy acquisition costs

5,464

6,750

Operating expenses

4,160

4,349

Interest expense

711

721

Total expenses

28,353

31,182

Income (loss) before equity earnings in Affiliate and income taxes

(2,987

)

(4,875

)

Equity earnings in Affiliate, net of tax

76

248

Income tax expense (benefit)

(41

)

9

Net income (loss)

$

(2,870

)

$

(4,636

)

Earnings (loss) per common share, basic and diluted

$

(0.30

)

$

(0.48

)

Weighted average common shares outstanding, basic and diluted

9,707,817

9,681,728

The accompanying notes are an integral part of the Consolidated Financial Statements.

4

CONIFER HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (Loss) (Unaudited)

(dollars in thousands)

Three Months Ended

March 31,

2022

2021

Net income (loss)

$

(2,870

)

$

(4,636

)

Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax:

Unrealized investment gains (losses):

Unrealized investment gains (losses) during the period

(7,287

)

(1,924

)

Income tax (benefit) expense

-

-

Unrealized investment gains (losses), net of tax

(7,287

)

(1,924

)

Less: reclassification adjustments to:

Net realized investment gains (losses) included in net income (loss)

-

943

Income tax (benefit) expense

-

-

Total reclassifications included in net income (loss), net of tax

-

943

Other comprehensive income (loss)

(7,287

)

(2,867

)

Total comprehensive income (loss)

$

(10,157

)

$

(7,503

)

The accompanying notes are an integral part of the Consolidated Financial Statements.

5

CONIFER HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Consolidated Statements of Changes in Shareholders' Equity (Unaudited)

(dollars in thousands)

No Par, Common Stock

Accumulated

Accumulated

Other

Comprehensive

Total

Shareholders'

Shares

Amount

Deficit

Income (Loss)

Equity

Balances at December 31, 2021

9,707,817

$

92,692

$

(50,079

)

$

(2,110

)

$

40,503

Net income (loss)

-

-

(2,870

)

-

(2,870

)

Stock-based compensation expense

-

38

-

-

38

Other comprehensive income (loss)

-

-

-

(7,287

)

(7,287

)

Balances at March 31, 2022

9,707,817

$

92,730

$

(52,949

)

$

(9,397

)

$

30,384

Balances at December 31, 2020

9,681,728

$

92,486

$

(48,985

)

$

912

$

44,413

Net income (loss)

-

-

(4,636

)

-

(4,636

)

Stock-based compensation expense

-

66

-

-

66

Other comprehensive income (loss)

-

-

-

(2,867

)

(2,867

)

Balances at March 31, 2021

9,681,728

$

92,552

$

(53,621

)

$

(1,955

)

$

36,976

The accompanying notes are an integral part of the Consolidated Financial Statements.

6

CONIFER HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (Unaudited)

(dollars in thousands)

Three Months Ended March 31,

2022

2021

Cash Flows From Operating Activities

Net income (loss)

$

(2,870

)

$

(4,636

)

Adjustments to reconcile net income (loss) to net cash provided by (used in) operating activities:

Depreciation and amortization

102

109

Amortization of bond premium and discount, net

116

120

Net realized investment (gains) losses

69

(2,924

)

Change in fair value of equity securities

(280

)

540

Stock-based compensation expenses

38

66

Equity earnings in Affiliate, net of tax

(76

)

(248

)

Changes in operating assets and liabilities:

(Increase) decrease in:

Premiums and agents' balances and other receivables

442

827

Reinsurance recoverables

(1,201

)

(6,126

)

Prepaid reinsurance premiums

(6,133

)

(2,337

)

Deferred policy acquisition costs

2,143

(216

)

Other assets

(719

)

197

Increase (decrease) in:

Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses

1,853

9,406

Unearned premiums

199

2,126

Reinsurance premiums payable

(1,976

)

-

Accounts payable and other liabilities

(234

)

(397

)

Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities

(8,527

)

(3,493

)

Cash Flows From Investing Activities

Purchase of investments

(68,116

)

(61,370

)

Proceeds from maturities and redemptions of investments

6,609

5,416

Proceeds from sales of investments

62,958

57,703

Purchases of property and equipment

-

(20

)

Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities

1,451

1,729

Cash Flows From Financing Activities

Borrowings under debt arrangements

5,000

3,000

Repayment of borrowings under debt arrangements

-

(5,000

)

Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities

5,000

(2,000

)

Net increase (decrease) in cash

(2,076

)

(3,764

)

Cash at beginning of period

9,913

8,193

Cash at end of period

$

7,837

$

4,429

Supplemental Disclosure of Cash Flow Information:

Interest paid

$

699

$

722

Income taxes paid (refunded), net

(12

)

(9

)

The accompanying notes are an integral part of the Consolidated Financial Statements.

7

CONIFER HOLDINGS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited)

1. Summary of Significant Accounting Policies

Recent Developments

COVID-19 (the "Pandemic") caused significant disruption to public health, the global economy, financial markets, and commercial, social and community activity in general. As there has been a significant reduction in reported cases and correspondingly a reduction in government restrictions, we see reduced risk to our business. We continue to monitor potential risks the Pandemic may present including a potential resurgence. Our exposure to the Pandemic is manifold. The majority of our employees continue to work remotely however strict "shelter-in-place" or "stay-at-home" orders have been lifted. A significant portion of our revenues are generated from the hospitality sector within the U.S. which remains under stress due to the threats of resurgence and resource shortages that resulted from the Pandemic.

We have continued to provide customer service, process new and renewal business, handle claims and otherwise manage all operations even though the vast majority of the staff is working remotely. To date, we have not seen a major disruption in our business as a result of the Pandemic and currently do not expect to see a material negative impact to our financial position or results of operations as a result of the Pandemic.

Basis of Presentation and Management Representation

The consolidated financial statements include accounts, after elimination of intercompany accounts and transactions, of Conifer Holdings, Inc. (the "Company" or "Conifer"), its wholly owned subsidiaries, Conifer Insurance Company ("CIC"), White Pine Insurance Company ("WPIC"), Red Cedar Insurance Company ("RCIC"), and Sycamore Insurance Agency, Inc. ("Sycamore"). CIC, WPIC, and RCIC are collectively referred to as the "Insurance Company Subsidiaries." On a stand-alone basis, Conifer Holdings, Inc. is referred to as the "Parent Company." Sycamore owns a 50% non-controlling interest in Venture Holdings, Inc. ("Venture" or "Affiliate").

The accompanying consolidated financial statements have been prepared in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP"), which differ from statutory accounting practices prescribed or permitted for insurance companies by regulatory authorities. The Company has applied the rules and regulations of the United States Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") regarding interim financial reporting and therefore the consolidated financial statements do not include all of the information and notes required by GAAP for annual financial statements. In the opinion of management, all adjustments, consisting of items of a normal recurring nature, necessary for a fair presentation of the consolidated interim financial statements, have been included.

These consolidated financial statements and the notes thereto should be read in conjunction with the Company's audited consolidated financial statements and related notes included in its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021, as filed with the SEC.

The results of operations for the three months ended March 31, 2022, are not necessarily indicative of the results expected for the year ended December 31, 2022.

Business

The Company is engaged in the sale of property and casualty insurance products and has organized its principal operations into three types of insurance businesses: commercial lines, personal lines, and agency business. The Company underwrites a variety of specialty insurance products, including property, general liability, liquor liability, automobile, and homeowners and dwelling policies. The Company markets and sells its insurance products through a network of independent agents, including managing general agents, whereby policies are written in all 50 states in the United States of America ("U.S."). The Company's corporate headquarters are located in Birmingham, Michigan with additional office facilities in Florida and Michigan.

Use of Estimates

The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. While management believes the amounts included in the consolidated financial statements reflect management's best estimates and assumptions, actual results may differ from these estimates.

8

Cash, Cash Equivalents, and Short-term Investments

Cash consists of cash deposits in banks, generally in operating accounts. Cash equivalents consist of money-market funds that are specifically used as overnight investments tied to cash deposit accounts. Short-term investments, consisting of money market funds, are classified as investments in the consolidated balance sheets as they relate to the Company's investment activities.

Recently Issued Accounting Guidance

In June 2016, the FASB issued ASU No. 2016-13, Financial Instruments - Credit Losses (Topic 326), which amends the current methodology and timing for recognizing credit losses. This amendment will replace the current GAAP "incurred loss" methodology for credit losses with a methodology based on expected credit losses. The new guidance will also require expanded consideration of a broader range of reasonable and increased supportable information for the credit loss estimates. This ASU is effective for annual and interim reporting periods beginning after December 15, 2022. Management is currently evaluating the impact of the guidance. The adoption of this guidance is not expected to have a material impact on the Company's consolidated financial statements.

In March 2020, the FASB issued ASU 2020-04, Reference Rate Reform (Topic 848). This guidance provides optional expedients and exceptions that are intended to ease the burden of updating contracts to contain a new reference rate due to the discontinuation of the London Inter-Bank Offered Rate (LIBOR). This guidance is available immediately and may be implemented in any period prior to the guidance expiration on December 31, 2022. Management does not expect the new guidance to have a material impact on the Company's consolidated financial statements.

2. Investments

The cost or amortized cost, gross unrealized gains or losses, and estimated fair value of the investments in securities classified as available for sale at March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, were as follows (dollars in thousands):

March 31, 2022

Cost or

Gross Unrealized

Estimated

Amortized Cost

Gains

Losses

Fair Value

Debt Securities:

U.S. Government

$

18,541

$

8

$

(291

)

$

18,258

State and local government

29,866

49

(1,846

)

28,069

Corporate debt

35,345

11

(2,586

)

32,770

Asset-backed securities

27,952

2

(723

)

27,231

Mortgage-backed securities

31,870

9

(2,571

)

29,308

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

3,424

1

(55

)

3,370

Collateralized mortgage obligations

5,219

4

(194

)

5,029

Total debt securities available for sale

$

152,217

$

84

$

(8,266

)

$

144,035

December 31, 2021

Cost or

Gross Unrealized

Estimated

Amortized Cost

Gains

Losses

Fair Value

Debt Securities:

U.S. Government

$

20,723

$

74

$

(77

)

$

20,720

State and local government

30,063

555

(189

)

30,429

Corporate debt

30,808

88

(550

)

30,346

Asset-backed securities

28,652

10

(224

)

28,438

Mortgage-backed securities

33,178

105

(762

)

32,521

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

1,659

31

0

1,690

Collateralized mortgage obligations

5,649

35

(45

)

5,639

Total debt securities available for sale

$

150,732

$

898

$

(1,847

)

$

149,783

9

The following table summarizes the aggregate fair value and gross unrealized losses, by security type, of the available-for-sale securities in unrealized loss positions. The table segregates the holdings based on the length of time that individual securities have been in a continuous unrealized loss position (dollars in thousands):

March 31, 2022

Less than 12 months

Greater than 12 months

Total

No. of

Issues

Fair Value of

Investments

with Unrealized

Losses

Gross

Unrealized

Losses

No. of

Issues

Fair Value of

Investments

with Unrealized

Losses

Gross

Unrealized

Losses

No. of

Issues

Fair Value of

Investments

with Unrealized

Losses

Gross

Unrealized

Losses

Debt Securities:

U.S. Government

8

$

10,508

$

(93

)

4

$

6,482

$

(198

)

12

$

16,990

$

(291

)

State and local government

108

21,485

(1,724

)

8

866

(122

)

116

22,351

(1,846

)

Corporate debt

54

23,456

(1,686

)

12

7,982

(900

)

66

31,438

(2,586

)

Asset-backed securities

21

13,448

(122

)

8

12,240

(601

)

29

25,688

(723

)

Mortgage-backed securities

29

6,714

(343

)

7

22,224

(2,228

)

36

28,938

(2,571

)

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

3

3,111

(55

)

-

-

-

3

3,111

(55

)

Collateralized mortgage obligations

18

3,418

(117

)

5

1,274

(77

)

23

4,692

(194

)

Total debt securities available for sale

241

$

82,140

$

(4,140

)

44

$

51,068

$

(4,126

)

285

$

133,208

$

(8,266

)

December 31, 2021

Less than 12 months

Greater than 12 months

Total

No. of

Issues

Fair Value of

Investments

with Unrealized

Losses

Gross

Unrealized

Losses

No. of

Issues

Fair Value of

Investments

with Unrealized

Losses

Gross

Unrealized

Losses

No. of

Issues

Fair Value of

Investments

with Unrealized

Losses

Gross

Unrealized

Losses

Debt Securities:

U.S. Government

6

$

10,323

$

(47

)

1

$

4,728

$

(30

)

7

$

15,051

$

(77

)

State and local government

41

8,875

(172

)

4

446

(17

)

45

9,321

(189

)

Corporate debt

41

22,748

(505

)

1

705

(45

)

42

23,453

(550

)

Asset-backed securities

24

24,305

(219

)

2

1,893

(5

)

26

26,198

(224

)

Mortgage-backed securities

12

27,034

(762

)

-

-

-

12

27,034

(762

)

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Collateralized mortgage obligations

10

2,638

(45

)

2

29

-

12

2,667

(45

)

Total debt securities available for sale

134

$

95,923

$

(1,750

)

10

$

7,801

$

(97

)

144

$

103,724

$

(1,847

)

The Company analyzed its investment portfolio in accordance with its other-than-temporary impairment ("OTTI") review procedures and determined the Company did not need to record a credit-related OTTI loss in net income, nor recognize a non-credit related OTTI loss in other comprehensive income for the three months ended March 31, 2022 and 2021.

10

The Company's sources of net investment income and losses are as follows (dollars in thousands):

Three Months Ended

March 31,

2022

2021

Debt securities

$

582

$

600

Equity securities

28

48

Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments

1

1

Total investment income

611

649

Investment expenses

(104

)

(117

)

Net investment income

$

507

$

532

The following table summarizes the gross realized gains and losses from sales, calls and maturities of available-for-sale debt and equity securities (dollars in thousands):

Three Months Ended

March 31,

2022

2021

Debt securities:

Gross realized gains

$

-

$

27

Gross realized losses

-

(6

)

Total debt securities

-

21

Equity securities:

Gross realized gains

19

2,903

Gross realized losses

(88

)

-

Total equity securities

(69

)

2,903

Total net realized investment gains (losses)

$

(69

)

$

2,924

Proceeds from available-for-sale debt securities were $6.7 million and $14.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. There were no gross realized gains or losses from the sales of available-for-sale securities for the three months ended March 31, 2022. The gross realized gains and losses from the sales of available-for-sale debt securities for the three months ended March 31, 2021, were $27,000 and $6,000, respectively.

As of March 31, 2022 and 2021, there were $750,000 and $0 of payables from securities purchased, respectively. There were $1.3 million and $3,000 of receivables from securities sold as of March 31, 2022, and 2021, respectively.

The Company carries other equity investments that do not have a readily determinable fair value at cost, less impairment or observable changes in price. We review these investments for impairment during each reporting period. There were no impairments or observable changes in price recorded during 2022 related to the Company's equity securities without readily determinable fair value. These investments are included in Other Assets in the Consolidated Balance Sheets and amounted to $1.2 million as of March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021.

11

The table below summarizes the amortized cost and fair value of available-for-sale debt securities by contractual maturity at March 31, 2022. Actual maturities may differ from contractual maturities because certain borrowers have the right to call or prepay obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties (dollars in thousands):

Amortized

Cost

Estimated

Fair Value

Due in one year or less

$

10,388

$

10,361

Due after one year through five years

33,732

32,466

Due after five years through ten years

23,806

21,843

Due after ten years

15,826

14,427

Securities with contractual maturities

83,752

79,097

Asset-backed securities

27,952

27,231

Mortgage-backed securities

31,870

29,308

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

3,424

3,370

Collateralized mortgage obligations

5,219

5,029

Total debt securities

$

152,217

$

144,035

At March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, the Insurance Company Subsidiaries had $8.2 million and $8.5 million, respectively, on deposit in trust accounts to meet the deposit requirements of various state insurance departments. At March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, the Company had $78.0 million and $76.1 million, respectively, held in trust accounts to meet collateral requirements with other third-party insurers, relating to various fronting arrangements. There are withdrawal and other restrictions on these deposits, including the type of investments that may be held, however, the Company may generally invest in high-grade bonds and short-term investments and earn interest on the funds.

3. Fair Value Measurements

The Company's financial instruments include assets and liabilities carried at fair value, as well as assets and liabilities carried at cost or amortized cost but disclosed at fair value in these consolidated financial statements. Fair value is defined as the price that would be received for an asset or paid to transfer a liability in the principally most advantageous market for the asset or liability in an orderly transaction between market participants. In determining fair value, the Company applies the market approach, which uses prices and other relevant data based on market transactions involving identical or comparable assets and liabilities. The inputs to valuation techniques used to measure fair value are prioritized into a three-level hierarchy. The hierarchy gives the highest priority to quoted prices from sources independent of the reporting entity ("observable inputs") and the lowest priority to prices determined by the reporting entity's own assumptions about market participant assumptions developed based on the best information available in the circumstances ("unobservable inputs"). The fair value hierarchy is as follows:

Level 1-Valuations that are based on quoted prices (unadjusted) in active markets for identical assets or liabilities.

Level 2-Valuations that are based on observable inputs (other than Level 1 prices) such as quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities at the measurement date; quoted prices in markets that are not active; or other inputs that are observable, either directly or indirectly, for substantially the full term of the asset or liability. The Level 2 financial instruments also include our line of credit and our Paycheck Protection Program loan.

Level 3-Unobservable inputs that are supported by little or no market activity. The unobservable inputs represent the Company's best assumption of how market participants would price the assets or liabilities.

Net Asset Value (NAV)-The fair values of investment company limited partnership investments are based on the capital account balances reported by the investment funds subject to their management review and adjustment. These capital account balances reflect the fair value of the investment funds.

12

The following tables present the Company's assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis, classified by the valuation hierarchy as of March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021 (dollars in thousands):

March 31, 2022

Fair Value Measurements

Total

Level 1

Level 2

Level 3

Assets:

Debt Securities:

U.S. Government

$

18,258

$

-

$

18,258

$

-

State and local government

28,069

-

28,069

-

Corporate debt

32,770

-

32,770

-

Asset-backed securities

27,231

-

27,231

-

Mortgage-backed securities

29,308

-

29,308

-

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

3,370

-

3,370

-

Collateralized mortgage obligations

5,029

-

5,029

-

Total debt securities

144,035

-

144,035

-

Equity Securities

10,399

10,126

273

-

Short-term investments

18,197

18,197

-

-

Total marketable investments measured at fair value

$

172,631

$

28,323

$

144,308

$

-

Investments measured at NAV:

Investment in limited partnership

493

Total assets measured at fair value

$

173,124

Liabilities:

Senior Unsecured Notes *

$

23,045

$

-

$

23,045

$

-

Subordinated Notes *

11,620

-

-

11,620

Line of credit *

5,000

-

5,000

-

Total Liabilities measured at fair value

$

39,665

$

-

$

28,045

$

11,620

*

Carried at face value of debt net of unamortized debt issuance costs on the consolidated balance sheets

13

December 31, 2021

Fair Value Measurements

Total

Level 1

Level 2

Level 3

Assets:

Debt Securities:

U.S. Government

$

20,720

$

-

$

20,720

$

-

State and local government

30,429

-

30,429

-

Corporate debt

30,346

-

30,346

-

Asset-backed securities

28,438

-

28,438

-

Mortgage-backed securities

32,521

-

32,521

-

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

1,690

-

1,690

-

Collateralized mortgage obligations

5,639

-

5,639

-

Total debt securities

149,783

-

149,783

-

Equity securities

9,437

9,154

283

-

Short-term investments

23,013

23,013

-

-

Total marketable investments measured at fair value

$

182,233

$

32,167

$

150,066

$

-

Investments measured at NAV:

Investment in limited partnership

494

Total assets measured at fair value

$

182,727

Liabilities:

Senior Unsecured Notes *

$

24,118

$

-

$

24,118

$

-

Subordinated Notes *

11,704

-

-

11,704

Total Liabilities measured at fair value

$

35,822

$

-

$

24,118

$

11,704

*

Carried at face value of debt net of unamortized debt issuance costs on the consolidated balance sheets

Level 1 investments consist of equity securities traded in an active exchange market. The Company uses unadjusted quoted prices for identical instruments to measure fair value. Level 1 also includes money market funds and other interest-bearing deposits at banks, which are reported as short-term investments. The fair value measurements that were based on Level 1 inputs comprise 16.4% of the fair value of the total investment portfolio as of March 31, 2022.

Level 2 investments include debt securities, which consist of U.S. government agency securities, state and local municipal bonds (including those held as restricted securities), corporate debt securities, mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities. The fair value of securities included in the Level 2 category were based on the market values obtained from a third-party pricing service that were evaluated using pricing models that vary by asset class and incorporate available trade, bid and other observable market information. The third-party pricing service monitors market indicators, as well as industry and economic events. The fair value measurements that were based on Level 2 inputs comprise 83.4% of the fair value of the total investment portfolio as of March 31, 2022.

The Company obtains pricing for each security from independent pricing services, investment managers or consultants to assist in determining fair value for its Level 2 investments. To validate that these quoted prices are reasonable estimates of fair value, the Company performs various quantitative and qualitative procedures, such as (i) evaluation of the underlying methodologies, (ii) analysis of recent sales activity, (iii) analytical review of our fair values against current market prices and (iv) comparison of the pricing services' fair value to other pricing services' fair value for the same investment. No markets for the investments were determined to be inactive at period-ends. Based on these procedures, the Company did not adjust the prices or quotes provided from independent pricing services, investment managers or consultants. The Level 2 financial instruments also include the Company's senior debt. The fair value of the borrowings under the senior revolving credit facility approximates its carrying amount because interest is based on a short-term, variable, market-based rate.

As of March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, Level 3 is entirely comprised of the Company's subordinated debt. In determining the fair value of the subordinated debt outstanding at March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, the security attributes (issue date, maturity, coupon, calls, etc.) and market rates on September 24, 2018 (the date of the restated and amended agreement which was repriced at that time) were entered into a valuation model. A lognormal trinomial interest rate lattice was created within the model to compute the option adjusted spread ("OAS") which is the amount, in basis points, of interest rate required to be paid under the debt agreement over the risk-free U.S. Treasury rates. The OAS was then used in the

14

model along with the March 31, 2022 andDecember 31, 2021 U.S. Treasury rates. A new lattice was generated and the fair value was computed from the OAS. There were no changes in assumptions of credit risk from the issuance date.

4. Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs

The Company defers costs incurred which are incremental and directly related to the successful acquisition of new or renewal insurance business, net of corresponding amounts of ceded reinsurance commissions. Net deferred policy acquisition costs are amortized and charged to expense in proportion to premium earned over the estimated policy term. The Company anticipates that its deferred policy acquisition costs will be fully recoverable and there were no premium deficiencies for the three months ended March 31, 2022 and 2021. The activity in deferred policy acquisition costs, net of reinsurance transactions, is as follows (dollars in thousands):

Three Months Ended

March 31,

2022

2021

Balance at beginning of period

$

12,267

$

12,243

Deferred policy acquisition costs

3,321

6,966

Amortization of policy acquisition costs

(5,464

)

(6,750

)

Net change

(2,143

)

216

Balance at end of period

$

10,124

$

12,459

5. Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

The Company establishes reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses ("LAE") which represent the estimated ultimate cost of all losses incurred that were both reported and unreported (i.e., incurred but not yet reported losses; or "IBNR") and LAE incurred that remain unpaid at the balance sheet date. The Company's reserving process takes into account known facts and interpretations of circumstances and factors including the Company's experience with similar cases, actual claims paid, historical trends involving claim payment patterns and pending levels of unpaid claims, loss management programs, product mix and contractual terms, changes in law and regulation, judicial decisions, and economic conditions. In the normal course of business, the Company may also supplement its claims processes by utilizing third-party adjusters, appraisers, engineers, inspectors, and other professionals and information sources to assess and settle catastrophe and non-catastrophe related claims. The effects of inflation are implicitly considered in the reserving process.

Reserves are estimates of unpaid portions of losses that have occurred, including IBNR losses; therefore, the establishment of appropriate reserves is an inherently uncertain and complex process. The ultimate cost of losses may vary materially from recorded amounts, which are based on management's best estimates. The highest degree of uncertainty is associated with reserves for losses incurred in the current reporting period as it contains the greatest proportion of losses that have not been reported or settled. The Company regularly updates its reserve estimates as new information becomes available and as events unfold that may affect the resolution of unsettled claims. Changes in reserve estimates, which may be material, are reported in the results of operations in the period such changes are determined to be needed and recorded.

Management believes that the reserve for losses and LAE, net of reinsurance recoverables, is appropriately established in the aggregate and adequate to cover the ultimate net cost of reported and unreported claims arising from losses which had occurred by the date of the consolidated financial statements based on available facts and in accordance with applicable laws and regulations.

15

The table below provides the changes in the reserves for losses and LAE, net of reinsurance recoverables, for the periods indicated as follows (dollars in thousands):

Three months ended

March 31,

2022

2021

Gross reserves - beginning of period

$

139,085

$

111,270

Less: reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses

(40,344

)

(24,218

)

Net reserves - beginning of period

98,741

87,052

Add: incurred losses and LAE, net of reinsurance:

Current period

12,497

13,584

Prior period

5,521

5,778

Total net incurred losses and LAE

18,018

19,362

Deduct: loss and LAE payments, net of reinsurance:

Current period

2,512

3,180

Prior period

13,914

11,117

Total net loss and LAE payments

16,426

14,297

Net reserves - end of period

100,333

92,117

Plus: reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses

40,605

26,559

Gross reserves - end of period

$

140,938

$

118,676

Net losses and LAE was $18.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2022. Adverse development contributed $5.5 million to the total incurred losses in the first quarter of 2022, of which $1.5 million was related to 2017 and prior accident years, $1.3 million was related to the 2018 accident year, $1.3 million was related to the 2019 accident year, and $1.5 million was related to the 2020 accident year. In the first quarter of 2022, $5.7 million of the adverse development came from the commercial lines of business, mostly from liability lines, while our personal lines of business had $219,000 favorable development.

The Company's incurred losses during the three months ended March 31, 2021 included prior-year adverse reserve development of $5.8 million. Of the $5.8 million of adverse development, $5.2 million was related to the Company's commercial lines of business, while $612,000 was related to the Company's personal lines of business. Of the $5.2 million of adverse development in the Company's commercial lines of business, $2.7 million was experienced in the Company's hospitality lines of business, while $2.5 million was experienced in the company's small business lines of business.

6. Reinsurance

In the normal course of business, the Company participates in reinsurance agreements in order to limit losses that may arise from catastrophes or other individually severe events. The Company ceded 40% of specific commercial liability risks in excess of $400,000, and 60% in excess of $300,000 in 2022. The Company primarily ceded all specific commercial liability risks in excess of $400,000 in 2021 and 2020. The Company ceded specific commercial property risks in excess of $300,000 in 2022. The Company ceded specific commercial property risks in excess of $200,000 in 2021. The Company ceded 40% of specific commercial property risks in excess of $400,000, and 60% in excess of $300,000 in 2020. The Company ceded homeowners specific risks in excess of $300,000 in both 2022 and 2021.

A "treaty" is a reinsurance agreement in which coverage is provided for a class of risks and does not require policy by policy underwriting of the reinsurer. "Facultative" reinsurance is where a reinsurer negotiates an individual reinsurance agreement for every policy it will reinsure on a policy by policy basis. A loss is covered under a reinsurance contract if the loss occurs within the effective dates of the agreement notwithstanding when the loss is reported.

Reinsurance does not discharge the direct insurer from liability to its policyholders. Failure of reinsurers to honor their obligations could result in losses to the Company. The Company evaluates the financial condition of its reinsurers and monitors the concentration of credit risk arising from similar geographic regions, activities, or economic characteristics of the reinsurers to minimize its exposure to significant losses from reinsurer insolvencies. To date, the Company has not experienced any significant difficulties in collecting reinsurance recoverables.

The Company assumes written premiums under a few fronting arrangements. The fronting arrangements are with unaffiliated insurers who write on behalf of the Company in markets that require a higher A.M. Best rating than the Company's current rating, where the policies are written in a state where the Company is not licensed or for other strategic reasons.

16

The following table presents the effects of reinsurance and assumption transactions on written premiums, earned premiums and losses and LAE (dollars in thousands):

Three Months Ended

March 31,

2022

2021

Written premiums:

Direct

$

24,796

$

23,433

Assumed

8,168

6,940

Ceded

(14,943

)

(5,890

)

Net written premiums

$

18,021

$

24,483

Earned premiums:

Direct

$

24,123

$

20,990

Assumed

8,641

7,257

Ceded

(8,809

)

(5,412

)

Net earned premiums

$

23,955

$

22,835

Losses and LAE:

Direct

$

13,066

$

20,750

Assumed

7,408

6,781

Ceded

(2,456

)

(8,169

)

Net Losses and LAE

$

18,018

$

19,362

Some of the excess of loss treaties that renewed on December 31, 2021 and January 1, 2022, included ceding commissions equal to 40% of the ceded premiums. The ceding commission is reflected as a reduction in acquisition costs and amounted to $2.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2022. There were no ceding commissions on the excess of loss treaties during 2021.

7. Debt

As of March 31, 2022, the Company's debt is comprised of three instruments: $24.4 million of publicly traded senior unsecured notes which were issued in 2018, a $10.0 million line of credit which commenced in June 2018, and $10.5 million of privately placed subordinated notes. A summary of the Company's outstanding debt is as follows (dollars in thousands):

March 31,

2022

December 31,

2021

Senior unsecured notes

$

23,991

$

23,926

Subordinated notes

9,651

9,638

Line of credit

5,000

-

Paycheck Protection Program loan *

-

-

Total

$

38,642

$

33,564

*

The PPP loan was embedded into the line of credit facility. See below.

Senior unsecured notes

The Company issued $25.3 million of public senior unsecured notes (the "Notes") in 2018. The Notes bear an interest rate of 6.75% per annum, payable quarterly at the end of March, June, September and December and mature on September 30, 2023. The Company may redeem the Notes, in whole or in part, at face value at any time after September 30, 2021.

The Company did not repurchase any of the Notes for the three months ended March 31, 2022 and 2021.

17

Subordinated notes

The Company also has outstanding $10.5 million of Subordinated Notes maturing on September 30, 2038. The Subordinated Notes bear an interest rate of 7.5% per annum until September 30, 2023, and 12.5% thereafter, and allow for four quarterly interest payment deferrals. Interest is payable quarterly at the end of March, June, September and December. Beginning September 30, 2021, the Company may redeem the Subordinated Notes, in whole or in part, for a call premium of $1.1 million. The call premium escalates each quarter to ultimately $1.75 million on September 30, 2023, then steps up to $3.05 million on December 31, 2023, and increases quarterly at a 12.5% per annum rate thereafter.

As of March 31, 2022, the carrying value of the Notes and Subordinated Notes are offset by $390,000 and $849,000 of debt issuance costs, respectively. The debt issuance costs will be amortized through interest expense over the life of the loans.

Line of credit

The Company maintains a $10.0 million line of credit with a national bank (the "Lender"). The line of credit bears interest at the London Interbank rate ("LIBOR") plus 2.75% per annum, payable monthly. The agreement includes several financial debt covenants, including a minimum tangible net worth, a minimum fixed-charge coverage ratio, and minimum statutory risk-based capital levels. As of March 31, 2022, the Company had $5.0 million outstanding on the line of credit. On June 18, 2021, the line of credit was renewed with a maturity of December 1, 2022.

Financial debt covenants

The Subordinated Notes and the line of credit contain identical restrictive financial debt covenants that relate to the Company's minimum tangible net worth, minimum fixed-charge coverage ratios, dividend paying capacity, reinsurance retentions, risk-based capital ratios, and debt to total capital. As of March 31, 2022, the Company was not in compliance with the tangible net worth and the debt to total capital financial covenants. On May 9, 2022, the holders of the Subordinated Notes waived the March 31, 2022 tangible net worth and debt to total capital requirements. On May 11, 2022, the holders of the line of credit waived the March 31, 2022 tangible net worth and total debt to capital requirements. Management expects to be in compliance with all debt covenants in future periods.

On May 9, 2022, the Subordinated Notes agreement was amended to exclude changes in unrealized gains or losses in the debt securities investment portfolio of the Company subsequent to December 31, 2021, when calculating the debt covenant ratios. With this amendment, the Company would not have breached the Subordinated Notes covenants at March 31, 2022.

Paycheck Protection Program loan

On April 24, 2020, the Company received a $2.7 million loan from the line of credit Lender pursuant to the Paycheck Protection Program of the CARES Act administered by the U.S. Small Business Administration ("SBA"). The Company received notice from the SBA that the loan was 100% forgiven, including accrued interest, on July 8, 2021. This resulted in a $2.8 million gain that was included in Other Gains on the Consolidated Statement of Operations in the third quarter of 2021.

8. Shareholder's Equity

As of March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, the Company had 9,707,817 issued and outstanding shares of common stock, respectively. Holders of common stock are entitled to one vote per share and to receive dividends only when and if declared by the board of directors. The holders have no preemptive, conversion or subscription rights.

9. Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss)

The following table presents changes in accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) for unrealized gains and losses on available-for-sale securities (dollars in thousands):

Three months ended

March 31,

2022

2021

Balance at beginning of period

$

(2,110

)

$

912

Other comprehensive income (loss) before reclassifications, net of tax

(7,287

)

(1,924

)

Less: amounts reclassified from accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax

-

943

Net other comprehensive income (loss)

(7,287

)

(2,867

)

Balance at end of period

$

(9,397

)

$

(1,955

)

18

10. Earnings Per Share

Basic and diluted earnings (loss) per share are computed by dividing net income (loss) by the weighted average number of common shares outstanding during the period. The following table presents the calculation of basic and diluted earnings (loss) per common share, as follows (dollars in thousands, except per share and share amounts):

Three Months Ended

March 31,

2022

2021

Net income (loss)

$

(2,870

)

$

(4,636

)

Weighted average common shares, basic and diluted *

9,707,817

9,681,728

Earnings (loss) per common share, basic and diluted

$

(0.30

)

$

(0.48

)

*

The non-vested shares of the restricted stock units and stock options were anti-dilutive as of March 31, 2022 and 2021. Therefore, the basic and diluted weighted average common shares are equal for the three months ended March 31, 2022 and 2021.

11. Stock-based Compensation

On March 8, 2022, the Company issued options to purchase 630,000 shares of the Company's common stock to two named executive officers. The right to exercise the options will vest over a five-yearperiod on a straight-line basis. The options will have a strike price of $4.53 per share and will expire on March 8, 2032. The estimated value of these options is $612,000, which is being expensed ratably over the vesting period.

On June 30, 2020, the Company issued options to purchase 280,000 shares of the Company's common stock, to certain executive officers and other employees. The right to exercise the options will vest over a five-yearperiod on a straight-line basis. The options have a strike price of $3.81 per share and expire on June 30, 2030. The estimated value of these options is $290,000, which is being expensed ratably over the vesting period.

In 2015, 2016, and 2018, the Company issued 390,352, 111,281, and 70,000, respectively, of restricted stock units ("RSUs") to various employees to be settled in shares of common stock, which were valued at $4.1 million, $909,000, and $404,000, respectively, on the dates of grant.

The Company recorded $14,000 and $54,000 of compensation expense related to the RSUs for the three months ended March 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. There were 19,000 unvested RSUs as of March 31, 2022, which will generate an estimated future expense of $59,000.

The Company recorded $24,000 and $12,000 of compensation expense related to the stock options for the three months ended March 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. There were 834,000 unvested options as of March 31, 2022, which will generate an estimated future expense of $773,000.

12. Commitments and Contingencies

Legal proceedings

The Company and its subsidiaries are subject at times to various claims, lawsuits and proceedings relating principally to alleged errors or omissions in the placement of insurance, claims administration, and other business transactions arising in the ordinary course of business. Where appropriate, the Company vigorously defends such claims, lawsuits and proceedings. Some of these claims, lawsuits and proceedings seek damages, including consequential, exemplary or punitive damages, in amounts that could, if awarded, be significant. Most of the claims, lawsuits and proceedings arising in the ordinary course of business are covered by the insurance policy at issue. We account for such activity through the establishment of unpaid losses and LAE reserves. In accordance with accounting guidance, if it is probable that a liability has been incurred as of the date of the financial statements and the amount of loss is reasonably estimable; then an accrual for the costs to resolve these claims is recorded by the Company in the accompanying consolidated financial statements. Periodic expenses related to the defense of such claims are included in the accompanying consolidated statements of operations. On the basis of current information, the Company does not believe that there is a reasonable possibility that any material loss exceeding amounts already accrued, if any, will result from any of the claims, lawsuits and proceedings to which the Company is subject to, either individually or in the aggregate.

19

13. Segment Information

The Company is engaged in the sale of property and casualty insurance products and has organized its business model around three classes of insurance businesses: commercial lines, personal lines, and wholesale agency business. Within these three businesses, the Company offers various insurance products and insurance agency services. Such insurance businesses are engaged in underwriting and marketing insurance coverages, and administering claims processing for such policies. The Company views the commercial and personal lines segments as underwriting business (business that takes on insurance underwriting risk). The wholesale agency business provides non-risk bearing revenue through commissions and policy fees. The wholesale agency business increases the product options to the Company's independent retail agents by offering both insurance products from the Insurance Company Subsidiaries as well as products offered by other insurers.

The Company defines its operating segments as components of the business where separate financial information is available and used by the co-chief operating decision makers in deciding how to allocate resources to its segments and in assessing its performance. In assessing performance of its operating segments, the Company's co-chief operating decision makers, the Co-Chief Executive Officers, review a number of financial measures including gross written premiums, net earned premiums, losses and LAE, net of reinsurance recoveries, and other revenue and expenses. The primary measure used for making decisions about resources to be allocated to an operating segment and assessing its performance is segment underwriting gain or loss which is defined as segment revenues, consisting of net earned premiums and other income, less segment expenses, consisting of losses and LAE, policy acquisition costs and operating expenses of the operating segments. Operating expenses primarily include compensation and related benefits for personnel, policy issuance and claims systems, rent and utilities. The Company markets, distributes and sells its insurance products through its own insurance agencies and a network of independent agents. All of the Company's insurance activities are conducted in the United States with a concentration of activity in Michigan, Florida, Texas and California. For the three months ended March 31, 2022 and 2021, gross written premiums attributable to these four states were 59.2% and 53.5%, respectively, of the Company's total gross written premiums.

The Wholesale Agency business sells insurance products on behalf of the Company's commercial and personal lines businesses as well as to third-party insurers. Certain acquisition costs incurred by the commercial and personal lines businesses are reflected as commission revenue for the Wholesale Agency business and are eliminated in the Eliminations category.

In addition to the reportable operating segments, the Company maintains a Corporate category to reconcile segment results to the consolidated totals. The Corporate category includes: (i) corporate operating expenses such as salaries and related benefits of the Company's executive management team and finance and information technology personnel, and other corporate headquarters expenses, (ii) interest expense on the Company's debt obligations; (iii) depreciation and amortization on property and equipment, and (iv) all investment income activity. All investment income activity is reported within net investment income, net realized investment gains, and change in fair value of equity securities on the consolidated statements of operations. The Company's assets on the consolidated balance sheet are not allocated to the reportable segments.

20

The following tables present information by reportable operating segment (dollars in thousands):

Three months ended

March 31, 2022

Commercial Lines

Personal

Lines

Total

Underwriting

Wholesale

Agency

Corporate

Eliminations

Total

Gross written premiums

$

28,586

$

4,378

$

32,964

$

-

$

-

$

-

$

32,964

Net written premiums

$

14,340

$

3,681

$

18,021

$

-

$

-

$

-

$

18,021

Net earned premiums

$

20,524

$

3,431

$

23,955

$

-

$

-

$

-

$

23,955

Other income

71

6

77

1,112

147

(638

)

698

Segment revenue

20,595

3,437

24,032

1,112

147

(638

)

24,653

Losses and LAE, net

16,610

1,408

18,018

-

-

-

18,018

Policy acquisition costs

4,357

1,093

5,450

758

-

(744

)

5,464

Operating expenses

3,161

402

3,563

292

305

-

4,160

Segment expenses

24,128

2,903

27,031

1,050

305

(744

)

27,642

Segment gain (loss)

$

(3,533

)

$

534

$

(2,999

)

$

62

$

(158

)

$

106

$

(2,989

)

Investment income

507

507

Net realized investment gains (losses)

(69

)

(69

)

Change in fair value of equity securities

280

280

Other gains (losses)

(5

)

(5

)

Interest expense

(711

)

(711

)

Income (loss) before equity earnings in Affiliate and income taxes

$

(3,533

)

$

534

$

(2,999

)

$

62

$

(156

)

$

106

$

(2,987

)

21

Three months ended

March 31, 2021

Commercial

Lines

Personal

Lines

Total

Underwriting

Wholesale

Agency

Corporate

Eliminations

Total

Gross written premiums

$

27,221

$

3,152

$

30,373

$

-

$

-

$

-

$

30,373

Net written premiums

$

21,557

$

2,926

$

24,483

$

-

$

-

$

-

$

24,483

Net earned premiums

$

20,706

$

2,129

$

22,835

$

-

$

-

$

-

$

22,835

Other income

56

40

96

1,726

43

(1,309

)

556

Segment revenue

20,762

2,169

22,931

1,726

43

(1,309

)

23,391

Losses and LAE, net

16,955

2,407

19,362

-

-

-

19,362

Policy acquisition costs

6,318

600

6,918

1,127

-

(1,295

)

6,750

Operating expenses

2,955

349

3,304

744

301

-

4,349

Segment expenses

26,228

3,356

29,584

1,871

301

(1,295

)

30,461

Segment gain (loss)

$

(5,466

)

$

(1,187

)

$

(6,653

)

$

(145

)

$

(258

)

$

(14

)

$

(7,070

)

Investment income

532

532

Net realized investment gains

2,924

2,924

Change in fair value of equity securities

(540

)

(540

)

Other gains

-

-

Interest expense

(721

)

(721

)

Income (loss) before equity earnings in Affiliate and income taxes

$

(5,466

)

$

(1,187

)

$

(6,653

)

$

(145

)

$

1,937

$

(14

)

$

(4,875

)

14. Subsequent Events

On May 11, 2022, the Company entered into a subscription agreement to issue $5.0 million of equity. Pricing terms are still pending. Related to this subscription agreement, the Company received $1.5 million of equity and paid down the line of credit by $1.5 million. This remediated the March 31, 2022 debt covenant breaches described in the Financial debt covenants section of Note 7 ~ Debt.

On May 9, 2022, the Subordinated Notes agreement was amended to exclude changes in unrealized gains or losses in the debt securities investment portfolio of the Company subsequent to December 31, 2021, when calculating the debt covenant ratios. As discussed in Note 7, with this amendment the Company would not have breached the Subordinated Notes covenants at March 31, 2022.

22

ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

For the Periods Ended March 31, 2022 and 2021

The following Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations should be read in conjunction with the Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited), related notes and other financial information appearing elsewhere in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and the audited consolidated financial statements and related notes included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K, filed on March 10, 2022 with the U. S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements contained in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, which are not statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, as Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Forward-looking statements give current expectations or forecasts of future events or our future financial or operating performance. Words such as "anticipate," "believe," "estimate," "expect," "intend," "may," "plan," "seek" and similar terms and phrases, or the negative thereof, may be used to identify forward-looking statements.

The forward-looking statements contained in this report are based on management's good-faith belief and reasonable judgment based on current information. The forward-looking statements are qualified by important factors, risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control, that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements, including those described in our Form 10-K ("Item 1A Risk Factors") filed with the SEC on March 10, 2022 and subsequent reports filed with or furnished to the SEC. Any forward-looking statement made by us in this report speaks only as of the date hereof or as of the date specified herein. We undertake no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as may be required by any applicable laws or regulations.

Recent Developments

COVID-19

COVID-19 (the "Pandemic") caused significant disruption to public health, the global economy, financial markets, and commercial, social and community activity in general. As there has been a significant reduction in reported cases and correspondingly a reduction in government restrictions, we see reduced risk to our business. We continue to monitor potential risks the Pandemic may present including a potential resurgence. Our exposure to the Pandemic is manifold. The majority of our employees continue to work remotely however strict "shelter-in-place" or "stay-at-home" orders have been lifted. A significant portion of our revenues are generated from the hospitality sector within the U.S. which remains under stress due to the threats of resurgence and resource shortages that resulted from the Pandemic.

We have continued to provide customer service, process new and renewal business, handle claims and otherwise manage all operations even though the vast majority of the staff is working remotely. To date, we have not seen a major disruption in our business as a result of the Pandemic and currently do not expect to see a material negative impact to our financial position or results of operations as a result of the Pandemic.

Sale of Certain Agency Business

On June 30, 2021, our agency (Sycamore Insurance Agency) sold to Venture Agency Holdings, Inc., a related party, the customer accounts and other related assets of some of its personal and commercial lines of business (the "Venture Transaction"). Sycamore will continue to produce various personal and commercial lines that it did not sell which is substantially all produced for, and underwritten by, our Insurance Company Subsidiaries. We recognized an $8.9 million gain on the sale which is reflected in Other Gains in the Consolidated Statement of Operations. In order to determine the value of the portion of the business sold, the Company obtained a third party valuation based on a weighting of discounted cash flows and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) multiple valuation methods. The valuation included significant estimates and assumptions related to (i) forecasted revenue and EBITDA and (ii) the selection of the EBITDA multiple and discount rate.

The purchase price was $10.0 million of which $1.0 million was paid in cash on June 30, 2021, and $9.0 million was in the form of two promissory notes (one for $6.0 million and one for $3.0 million). Both notes require interest-only quarterly payments at a per annum rate of 7.0%, with a five-year maturity. There are no prepayment penalties. On December 14, 2021, Venture paid off the $3.0 million note.

23

The assets sold included the customer accounts (mainly agency-related new and renewal rights) of substantially all ofthe personal lines business and a small subset of the commercial lines business underwritten by our Insurance Company Subsidiaries, and all of the customer accounts Sycamore produced for third-party insurers. The Venture Transaction included the transition of 21 employees from Conifer to Venture as well as necessary systems and office functions to operate the business. Venture did not assume any in-force business or liabilities. The business will transition to Venture as it produces new or renewal business effective July 1, 2021. We expect our Insurance Company Subsidiaries will continue to underwrite substantially all ofthe business we sold to Venture that we underwrote prior to the transaction. We expect Venture to be able to grow both the business we underwrite as well as the third-party business more effectively as a separate entity outside of Conifer. As of March 31, 2022, the Companyhad a non-controlling 50% interest in Venture.

On April 21, 2022, A.M. Best downgraded the Company's Long-Term Issuer Credit Rating (Long-Term ICR) from "bb" (Fair) to "bb-" (Fair), and downgraded the Company's insurance subsidiaries Financial Strength Rating from "B++" (Good) to "B+" (Good) and the Long-Term ICR from "bbb" (Good) to "bbb-" (Good). The outlook assigned to all these ratings by A.M. Best was Stable. We do not believe the rating changes will have a material effect on our business.

Business Overview

We are an insurance holding company that markets and services our product offerings through specialty commercial and specialty personal insurance business lines. Our growth has been significant since our founding in 2009. Currently, we are authorized to write insurance as an excess and surplus lines carrier in 45 states, including the District of Columbia. We are also licensed to write insurance as an admitted carrier in 42 states, including the District of Columbia, and we offer our insurance products in all 50 states.

Our revenues are primarily derived from premiums earned from our insurance operations. We also generate other revenues through investment income and other income which mainly consists of installment fees and policy issuance fees generally related to the policies we write.

Our expenses consist primarily of losses and loss adjustment expenses, agents' commissions, and other underwriting and administrative expenses. We organize our operations into three insurance businesses: commercial insurance lines, personal insurance lines, and wholesale agency business. Together, the commercial and personal lines refer to "underwriting" operations that take insurance risk, and the wholesale agency business refers to non-risk insurance business.

Through our commercial insurance product lines, we offer coverage for both commercial property and commercial liability. We also offer coverage for commercial automobiles and workers' compensation. Our insurance policies are sold to targeted small and mid-sized businesses on a single or multiple-coverage basis.

Through our personal insurance product lines, we offer homeowners insurance and dwelling fire insurance policies to individuals in several states. Our specialty homeowners insurance product line is primarily comprised of low-value dwelling insurance tailored for owners of lower valued homes, which we offer in Illinois, Indiana and Texas. Due to recent Florida-based industry events, we have been de-emphasizing our Florida homeowners' business and reducing our exposures in that state, as well as other wind-exposed states like Texas and Hawaii.

Through our wholesale agency business segment, we offer commercial and personal lines insurance products for our Insurance Company Subsidiaries as well as third-party insurers. We have expanded the wholesale agency business to develop more non-risk revenue streams, and provide our agents with more insurance product options. However, as a result of the sale of certain agency business on June 30, 2021, going forward, our agency segment will not be producing any significant amounts of business for third-party insurers and will produce approximately 50% less business for the Insurance Company Subsidiaries.

24

Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates

In certain circumstances, we are required to make estimates and assumptions that affect amounts reported in our consolidated financial statements and related footnotes. We evaluate these estimates and assumptions periodically on an on-going basis based on a variety of factors. There can be no assurance, however, that actual results will not be materially different than our estimates and assumptions, and that reported results of operations will not be affected by accounting adjustments needed to reflect changes in these estimates and assumptions. During the three months ended March 31, 2022, there were no material changes to our critical accounting policies and estimating methodologies, which are disclosed in "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" included in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC on March 10, 2022.

Executive Overview

The Company reported $33.0 million of gross written premiums in the first quarter of 2022, representing an 8.5% increase as compared to the same period in 2021. Our commercial lines gross written premiums increased by $1.4 million, or 5.0%, to $28.6 million in the first quarter of 2022, compared to $27.2 million for the same period in 2021. Personal lines gross written premiums increased by $1.2 million, or 38.9%, to $4.4 million in the first quarter of 2022, compared to $3.1 million for the same period in 2021.

The Company reported a net loss of $2.9 million, or $0.30 per share, for the three months ended March 31, 2022. The Company reported a net loss of $4.6 million, or $0.48 per share, for the three months ended March 31, 2021.

Adjusted operating loss, a non-GAAP measure, was $3.1 million, or $0.32 per share for the three months ended March 31, 2022, compared to an adjusting operating loss of $7.0 million, or $0.72 per share for the same period in 2021.

Our underwriting combined ratio was 112.5% for the three months ended March 31, 2022, compared to 129.0% for the same period in 2021. The expense ratio decreased 7.1% to 37.5% for the three months ended March 31, 2022, compared to 44.6% for the same period in 2021.

25

Results of Operations For The Three Months Ended March 31, 2022 and 2021

The following table summarizes our operating results for the periods indicated (dollars in thousands):

Summary of Operating Results

Three Months Ended

March 31,

2022

2021

$ Change

% Change

Gross written premiums

$

32,964

$

30,373

$

2,591

8.5

%

Net written premiums

$

18,021

$

24,483

$

(6,462

)

(26.4

%)

Net earned premiums

$

23,955

$

22,835

$

1,120

4.9

%

Other income

698

556

142

25.5

%

Losses and loss adjustment expenses, net

18,018

19,362

(1,344

)

(6.9

)%

Policy acquisition costs

5,464

6,750

(1,286

)

(19.1

)%

Operating expenses

4,160

4,349

(189

)

(4.3

)%

Underwriting gain (loss)

(2,989

)

(7,070

)

4,081

*

Net investment income

507

532

(25

)

(4.7

)%

Net realized investment gains (losses)

(69

)

2,924

(2,993

)

*

Change in fair value of equity securities

280

(540

)

820

*

Other gains (losses)

(5

)

-

(5

)

*

Interest expense

711

721

(10

)

(1.4

)%

Income (loss) before equity earnings in Affiliate, net of tax

(2,987

)

(4,875

)

1,888

*

Equity earnings in Affiliate, net of tax

76

248

(172

)

*

Income tax expense

(41

)

9

(50

)

*

Net income (loss)

$

(2,870

)

$

(4,636

)

$

1,766

*

Book value per common share outstanding

$

3.13

$

3.82

Underwriting Ratios:

Loss ratio (1)

75.0

%

84.4

%

Expense ratio (2)

37.5

%

44.6

%

Combined ratio (3)

112.5

%

129.0

%

(1)

The loss ratio is the ratio, expressed as a percentage, of net losses and loss adjustment expenses to net earned premiums and other income from underwriting operations.

(2)

The expense ratio is the ratio, expressed as a percentage, of policy acquisition costs and other underwriting expenses to net earned premiums and other income from underwriting operations.

(3)

The combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio. A combined ratio under 100% indicates an underwriting profit. A combined ratio over 100% indicates an underwriting loss.

*

Percentage change is not meaningful.

Premiums

Premiums are earned ratably over the term of the policy, whereas written premiums are reflected on the effective date of the policy. Almost all commercial lines and homeowners products have annual policies, under which premiums are earned evenly over one year. The resulting net earned premiums are impacted by the gross and ceded written premiums, earned ratably over the terms of the policies.

26

Our premiums are presented below for the three months ended March 31, 2022 and 2021 (dollars in thousands):

Summary of Premium Revenue

Three Months Ended

March 31,

2022

2021

$ Change

% Change

Gross written premiums

Commercial lines

$

28,586

$

27,221

$

1,365

5.0

%

Personal lines

4,378

3,152

1,226

38.9

%

Total

$

32,964

$

30,373

$

2,591

8.5

%

Net written premiums

Commercial lines

$

14,340

$

21,557

$

(7,217

)

(33.5

)%

Personal lines

3,681

2,926

755

25.8

%

Total

$

18,021

$

24,483

$

(6,462

)

(26.4

)%

Net earned premiums

Commercial lines

$

20,524

$

20,706

$

(182

)

(0.9

)%

Personal lines

3,431

2,129

1,302

61.2

%

Total

$

23,955

$

22,835

$

1,120

4.9

%

Gross written premiums increased $2.6 million, or 8.5%, to $33.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2022, as compared to $30.4 million for the same period in 2021.

Commercial lines gross written premiums increased $1.4 million, or 5.0%, to $28.6 million in the first quarter of 2022, as compared to $27.2 million for the first quarter of 2021. The increase was due to $2.2 million of premium growth in the small business programs, partially offset by a $861,000 reduction of gross written premium in the Company's hospitality programs.

Personal lines gross written premiums increased $1.2 million, or 38.9%, to $4.4 million in the first quarter of 2022, as compared to $3.1 million for the same period in 2021. The increased gross written premiums were due to $1.0 million of premium growth in the Company's low-value dwelling book of business.

Net written premiums decreased $6.5 million, or 26.4%, to $18.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2022, as compared to $24.5 million for the same period in 2021. The Company entered into new specific loss reinsurance treaties on December 31, 2021 and January 1, 2022, which included a 40% ceding commission. This increased ceded written premiums by approximately $4.5 million in the first quarter of 2022. There was no ceding commission on excess of loss treaties during 2021. Ceded earned premiums also increased due to the new treaties by $2.1 million. The increase in ceded earned premiums was offset by the same increase in ceding commissions, which reduced acquisition costs. Ceded earned premiums also increased by $1.1 million in the first quarter of 2022 as compared to 2021 due to growth in umbrella insurance premiums which are 94.0% ceded under existing quota share reinsurance agreements.

Other Income

Other income consists primarily of fees charged to policyholders by the Company for services outside of the premium charge, such as installment billings and policy issuance costs. Other income also includes the interest income from the $6.0 million promissory note receivable from Venture relating to the Venture Transaction. Commission income is also received by the Company's insurance agency for writing policies for third-party insurance companies. All of the third-party business was sold to Venture at June 30, 2021. Accordingly, other income from that business will diminish over the next few quarters as it transitions over to Venture, and will ultimately no longer occur. Other income for the three months ended March 31, 2022, increased by $142,000, or 25.5%, to $698,000 as compared to $556,000 for the same period in 2021. Other income relating to installment billings and policy issuance costs was lower in the first quarter of 2022, as the business that was sold to Venture at June 30, 2021, no longer produces other income for the Company. This was more than offset by an increase in the interest income from the notes payable of $105,000 in the first quarter of 2022.

27

Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

The tables below detail our losses and loss adjustment expenses and loss ratios in our underwriting business for the three months ended March 31, 2022 and 2021 (dollars in thousands).

Three months ended March 31, 2022

Commercial

Lines

Personal

Lines

Total

Accident year net losses and LAE

$

10,870

$

1,627

$

12,497

Net (favorable) adverse development

5,740

(219

)

5,521

Calendar year net losses and LAE

$

16,610

$

1,408

$

18,018

Accident year loss ratio

52.8

%

47.3

%

52.0

%

Net (favorable) adverse development

27.9

%

(6.3

)%

23.0

%

Calendar year loss ratio

80.7

%

41.0

%

75.0

%

Three months ended March 31, 2021

Commercial

Lines

Personal

Lines

Total

Accident year net losses and LAE

$

11,789

$

1,795

$

13,584

Net (favorable) adverse development

5,166

612

5,778

Calendar year net losses and LAE

$

16,955

$

2,407

$

19,362

Accident year loss ratio

56.8

%

82.8

%

59.2

%

Net (favorable) adverse development

24.9

%

28.2

%

25.2

%

Calendar year loss ratio

81.7

%

111.0

%

84.4

%

Net losses and LAE decreased by $1.3 million, or 6.9%, to $18.0 million during the first quarter of 2022, compared to $19.4 million for the same period in 2021. The decrease in losses was driven by current accident year losses decreasing by $1.1 million to $12.5 million for the three months ended March 31, 2022, compared to $13.6 million for the same period in 2021.

The Company experienced $5.5 million of adverse development for the three months ended March 31, 2022, of which $1.5 million was related to 2017 and prior accident years, $1.3 million was related to the 2018 accident year, $1.3 million was related to the 2019 accident year, and $1.5 million was related to the 2020 accident year. Of the $5.5 million of adverse development, $5.7 million was related to the Company's commercial lines of business, while the Company's personal lines of business experienced $219,000 of favorable development in the first quarter of 2022.

Net losses and LAE increased were $19.4 million for the first three months in 2021. The Company experienced $2.0 million of catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance recoverables, during the first quarter of 2021 from Winter Storm Uri. In addition to these losses, the Company experienced $5.8 million of adverse development for the three months ended March 31, 2021. Of the $5.8 million in adverse development, $5.2 million was related to commercial lines, and $612,000 was related to personal lines.

Expense Ratio

Our expense ratio is a measure of the efficiency and performance of the commercial and personal lines of business (our risk-bearing underwriting operations). It is calculated by dividing the sum of policy acquisition costs and other underwriting expenses by the sum of net earned premiums and other income of the underwriting business. Costs that cannot be readily identifiable as a direct cost of a segment or product line remain in Corporate for segment reporting purposes. The expense ratio excludes wholesale agency and Corporate expenses.

28

The table below provides the expense ratio by major component.

Three Months Ended

March 31,

2022

2021

Commercial Lines

Policy acquisition costs

21.2

%

30.4

%

Operating expenses

15.3

%

14.2

%

Total

36.5

%

44.6

%

Personal Lines

Policy acquisition costs

31.8

%

27.7

%

Operating expenses

11.7

%

16.1

%

Total

43.5

%

43.8

%

Total Underwriting

Policy acquisition costs

22.7

%

30.2

%

Operating expenses

14.8

%

14.4

%

Total

37.5

%

44.6

%

Our expense ratio decreased by 7.1 percentage points in the first quarter of 2022 as compared to the same period in 2021. The decrease was largely due to a reduction in policy acquisition costs attributable to $2.2 million of ceding commission from new excess of loss reinsurance treaties. There were no commissions on excess of loss treaties in 2021. The expense ratio also decreased as a result of a $1.3 million increase in underwriting revenue in the first quarter of 2022 as compared to a first quarter in 2021, while operating expenses were slightly lower in 2022.

Policy acquisition costs are costs we incur to issue policies, which include commissions, premium taxes, underwriting reports and underwriter compensation costs. The Company offsets direct commissions with ceded commissions from reinsurers. The percentage of policy acquisition costs to net earned premiums and other income decreased by 7.5%, from 30.2% in the first three months of 2021, to 22.7% for the same period in 2022, mostly due to the new ceding commission mentioned above.

Operating expenses consist primarily of employee compensation, information technology and occupancy costs, such as rent and utilities. Operating expenses as a percent of net earned premiums and other underwriting income were 14.8% and 14.4% for the three months ended March 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. While overall operating expenses were lower in 2022, the new excess of loss reinsurance treaties with the ceding commission drove net earned premiums lower, resulting in a slightly higher operating expense ratio.

The personal lines operating expense ratio was lower in 2022 due to significant growth in premium volume on substantially the same operating expense base.

Segment Results

We measure the performance of our consolidated results, in part, based on our underwriting gain or loss. The following table provides the underwriting gain or loss for the three months ended March 31, 2022 and 2021 (dollars in thousands):

Segment Gain (Loss)

Three Months Ended

March 31,

2022

2021

$ Change

Commercial Lines

$

(3,533

)

$

(5,466

)

$

1,933

Personal Lines

534

(1,187

)

1,721

Total Underwriting

(2,999

)

(6,653

)

3,654

Wholesale Agency

62

(145

)

207

Corporate

(158

)

(258

)

100

Eliminations

106

(14

)

120

Total segment gain (loss)

$

(2,989

)

$

(7,070

)

$

4,081

29

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Sources and Uses of Funds

At March 31, 2022, we had $26.0 million in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments. Our principal sources of funds are insurance premiums, investment income, proceeds from maturities and sales of invested assets and installment fees. These funds are primarily used to pay claims, commissions, employee compensation, taxes and other operating expenses, and service debt.

We believe that our existing cash, cash equivalents, short-term investments and investment securities balances will be adequate to meet our capital and liquidity needs and the needs of our subsidiaries on a short-term and long-term basis.

We conduct our business operations primarily through our Insurance Company Subsidiaries. Our ability to service debt, and pay administrative expenses is primarily reliant upon our intercompany service fees paid by the Insurance Company Subsidiaries to the Parent Company for management, administrative, and information technology services provided to the Insurance Company Subsidiaries by the Parent Company. Secondarily, the Parent Company may receive dividends from the Insurance Company Subsidiaries; however, this is not the primary means in which the Parent Company supports its funding as state insurance laws restrict the ability of our Insurance Company Subsidiaries to declare dividends to the Parent Company. There were no dividends paid from our Insurance Company Subsidiaries during the three months ended March 31, 2022 and 2021.

Cash Flows

Operating Activities. Cash used in operating activities for the three months ended March 31, 2022 was $8.5 million, compared to $3.5 million for the same period in 2021. The $5.0 million increase was primarily due to a $9.2 million increase in ceded premiums paid during the first quarter of 2022, compared to the same period in 2021. This was due to the new specific commercial liability treaty the Company entered into as of December 31, 2021, which includes a 40% ceding commission. The increase in ceded premiums paid was offset by a $4.0 million decrease in acquisition costs paid in the first quarter of 2022, compared to the same period in 2021. This decrease was also related to the new specific commercial liability treaty the Company entered into on December 31, 2021.

Investing Activities. Cash provided by investing activities for the three months ended March 31, 2022 was $1.5 million, compared to $1.7 million in the same period in 2021. The $278,000 decrease of cash provided by investing activities was driven by a $6.7 million increase in purchases of investments during the first quarter of 2022, compared to the same period in 2021. This was offset by an increase of $5.3 million in proceeds from sales of investments and a $1.2 million increase in proceeds from maturities and redemptions of investments during the first quarter of 2022, compared to the same period in 2021.

Financing Activities. Cash provided by financing activities for the three months ended March 31, 2022 was $5.0 million, compared to $2.0 million of cash used in the same period in 2021. The $7.0 million increase was primarily driven by the Company borrowing $5.0 million on its line of credit during the first quarter of 2022, while the Company paid down a net amount of $2.0 million on its outstanding balance on its line of credit during the first quarter of 2021.

Statutory Capital and Surplus

Our Insurance Company Subsidiaries are required to file quarterly and annual financial reports with state insurance regulators. These financial reports are prepared using statutory accounting practices promulgated by the Insurance Company Subsidiaries' state of domiciliary, rather than GAAP. The Insurance Company Subsidiaries' aggregate statutory capital and surplus (which is a statutory measure of equity) was $62.4 million and $63.9 million at March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively.

Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Adjusted Operating Income and Adjusted Operating Income Per Share

Adjusted operating income and adjusted operating income per share are non-GAAP measures that represent net income allocable to common shareholders excluding net realized investment gains or losses, other gains or losses, and changes in fair value of equity securities; all net of tax. The most directly comparable financial GAAP measures to adjusted operating income and adjusted operating income per share are net income and net income per share, respectively. Adjusted operating income and adjusted operating income per share are intended as supplemental information and are not meant to replace net income or net income per share. Adjusted operating income and adjusted operating income per share should be read in conjunction with the GAAP financial results. Our definition of adjusted operating income may be different from that used by other companies. The

30

following is a reconciliation of net income (loss) to adjusted operating income (loss) (dollars in thousands), as well as net income (loss) per share to adjusted operating income (loss) per share:

Three Months Ended

March 31,

2022

2021

Net income (loss)

$

(2,870

)

$

(4,636

)

Exclude:

Net realized investment gains (losses), net of tax

(69

)

2,924

Other gains (losses), net of tax

(5

)

-

Change in fair value of equity securities, net of tax

280

(540

)

Adjusted operating income (loss)

$

(3,076

)

$

(7,020

)

Weighted average common shares diluted

9,707,817

9,681,728

Diluted income (loss) per common share:

Net income (loss)

$

(0.30

)

$

(0.48

)

Exclude:

Net realized investment gains (losses), net of tax

(0.01

)

0.30

Other gains (losses), net of tax

-

-

Change in fair value of equity securities, net of tax

0.03

(0.06

)

Adjusted operating income (loss) per share

$

(0.32

)

$

(0.72

)

We use adjusted operating income and adjusted operating income per share to assess our performance and to evaluate the results of our overall business. We believe these measures provide investors with valuable information relating to our ongoing performance that may be obscured by the net effect of realized gains and losses as a result of our market risk sensitive instruments, which primarily relate to debt securities that are available for sale and not held for trading purposes. The change in fair value of equity securities and realized gains and losses may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by external economic developments, such as capital market conditions. Accordingly, adjusted operating income excludes the effect of items that tend to be highly variable from period to period and highlights the results from our ongoing business operations and the underlying results of our business. We believe that it is useful for investors to evaluate adjusted operating income and adjusted operating income per share, along with net income and net income per share, when reviewing and evaluating our performance.

Recently Issued Accounting Pronouncements

Refer to Note 1 ~ Summary of Significant Accounting Policies - Recently Issued Accounting Guidanceof the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for detailed information regarding recently issued accounting pronouncements.

31

ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK

Market risk is the risk of loss arising from adverse changes in market rates and prices such as interest rates, other relevant market rates or price changes. The volatility and liquidity in the markets in which the underlying assets are traded directly influence market risk. The following is a discussion of our primary market risk exposures and how those exposures are currently managed as of March 31, 2022. Our market risk sensitive instruments are primarily related to fixed income securities, which are available-for-sale and not held for trading purposes.

Interest Rate Risk

At March 31, 2022, the fair value of our investment portfolio, excluding cash and cash equivalents, was $173.1 million. Our investment portfolio consists principally of investment-grade, fixed-income securities, all of which are classified as available for sale. Accordingly, the primary market risk exposure to our debt securities is interest rate risk. In general, the fair market value of a portfolio of debt securities increases or decreases inversely with changes in market interest rates, while net investment income realized from future investments in debt securities increases or decreases along with interest rates. We attempt to mitigate interest rate risks by investing in securities with varied maturity dates and by managing the duration of our investment portfolio to a defined range of three to four years. The effective duration of our portfolio as of March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021 was 3.7 and 3.6 years, respectively.

The table below illustrates the sensitivity of the fair value of our debt investments, classified as debt securities and short-term investments, to selected hypothetical changes in interest rates as of March 31, 2022. The selected scenarios are not predictions of future events, but rather illustrate the effect that events may have on the fair value of the debt portfolio and shareholders' equity (dollars in thousands).

Estimated

Hypothetical Percentage

Increase (Decrease) in

Hypothetical Change in Interest Rates

Estimated

Change in

Shareholders'

As of March 31, 2022

Fair Value

Fair Value

Fair Value

Equity

200 basis point increase

$

151,006

$

(11,226

)

(6.92

)%

(36.95

)%

100 basis point increase

156,440

(5,792

)

(3.57

)%

(19.06

)%

No change

162,232

-

-

-

100 basis point decrease

168,299

6,067

3.74

%

19.97

%

200 basis point decrease

173,572

11,340

6.99

%

37.32

%

Credit Risk

An additional exposure to our debt securities portfolio is credit risk. We manage our credit risk by investing only in investment-grade securities. In addition, we comply with applicable statutory requirements, which limit the portion of our total investment portfolio that we can invest in any one security.

We are subject to credit risks with respect to our reinsurers. Although a reinsurer is liable for losses to the extent of the coverage which it assumes, our reinsurance contracts do not discharge our insurance companies from primary liability to each policyholder for the full amount of the applicable policy, and consequently our insurance companies remain obligated to pay claims in accordance with the terms of the policies regardless of whether a reinsurer fulfills or defaults on its obligations under the related reinsurance agreement. To mitigate our credit risk to reinsurance companies, we attempt to select financially strong reinsurers with an A.M. Best rating of "A-" or better and continue to evaluate their financial condition throughout the duration of our agreements.

At March 31, 2022, the net amount due to the Company from reinsurers, including prepaid reinsurance premiums, was $57.3 million. We believe all amounts recorded as due from reinsurers are recoverable.

Effects of Inflation

We do not believe that inflation has a material effect on our results of operations, except for the effect that inflation may have on interest rates and claims costs. We consider the effects of inflation in pricing and estimating reserves for unpaid losses and LAE. The actual effects of inflation on our results are not known until claims are ultimately settled. In addition to general price inflation, we are exposed to a long-term upward trend in the cost of judicial awards for damages.

32

ITEM 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES

Disclosure Controls and Procedures

The Company's management, including its Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, has evaluated the effectiveness of the Company's disclosure controls and procedures, as defined in Rule 13a-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act") as of March 31, 2022. Based on such evaluations, the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer have concluded the Company's disclosure controls and procedures are effective in recording, processing, summarizing, and reporting, on a timely basis, information required to be disclosed by the Company in the reports that it files or submits under the Exchange Act, and that information is accumulated and communicated to the Company's management, including the Company's Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure.

Changes in Internal Control over Financial Reporting

For the three months ended March 31, 2022, there were no changes in our internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Rule 13a-15(f) of the Exchange Act) that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect the Company's internal control over financial reporting.

33

PART II - OTHER INFORMATION

ITEM 1. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS

The information required by this item is included under Note 13 ~ Commitments and Contingenciesof the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements of the Company's Form 10-Q for the three months ended March 31, 2022, which is hereby incorporated by reference.

ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS

There were no material changes to the risk factors disclosed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K ("Item 1A Risk Factors") filed with the SEC on March 10, 2022.

ITEM 2. UNREGISTERED SALES OF EQUITY SECURITIES AND USE OF PROCEEDS

None.

34

ITEM 6. EXHIBITS

Incorporated by Reference

Exhibit

Number

Exhibit Description

Form

Period

Ending

Exhibit /

Appendix

Number

Filing Date

31.1

Section 302 Certification - Co-CEO

31.2

Section 302 Certification - Co-CEO

31.3

Section 302 Certification - CFO

32.1*

Section 906 Certification - Co-CEO

32.2*

Section 906 Certification - Co-CEO

32.3*

Section 906 Certification - CFO

101.INS

inline XBRL Instance Document

101.SCH

inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Schema Document

101.CAL

inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Calculation Linkbase

101.DEF

inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Definition Linkbase

101.LAB

inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Label Linkbase

101.PRE

inline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Presentation Linkbase

104

Cover Page Interactive Date File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

*

This certification is deemed not filed for purposes of section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liability of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.

35

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.

CONIFER HOLDINGS, INC.

By:

/s/ Harold J. Meloche

Harold J. Meloche

Chief Financial Officer,

Principal Financial Officer,

Principal Accounting Officer

Dated: May 11, 2022

36