PGA Tour Inc.

02/14/2020 | News release | Distributed by Public on 02/14/2020 21:30

Win probabilities: The Genesis Invitational

2020 The Genesis Invitational, Round 2

Top 10 win probabilities:

  1. Rory McIlroy (T2, -7, 27.7%)
  2. Matt Kuchar (1, -9, 15.2%)
  3. Adam Scott (T5, -6, 10.0%)
  4. Jon Rahm (T11, -4, 6.6%)
  5. Harold Varner III (T2, -7, 4.8%)
  6. Wyndham Clark (T2, -7, 4.4%)
  7. Dustin Johnson (T11, -4, 3.9%)
  8. Vaughn Taylor (T5, -6, 3.2%)
  9. Justin Rose (T11, -4, 2.4%)
  10. Sung Kang (T5, -6, 2.3%)

Top Strokes-Gained Performers from Round 2:

Putting: J.J. Spaun +3.8

Around the Green: Chez Reavie +2.7

Approach the Green: Charles Howell III +4.5

Off-the-tee: Talor Gooch +1.8

Total: Adam Scott +7.2

NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live 'Make Cut', 'Top 20', 'Top 5', and 'Win' probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of The Genesis Invitational, or to see how each golfer's probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model's home page.